Tuesday, August 23, 2011


Respect elliott wvae priciple.
Respect the channels..
Respect Fibonacci Ratios...Say Golden Ratio...

I don't know why but i do prefer channels & trendlines more than Fibonacci...
There r times when Wave principle itself clashes with short term wave counts
say most elliticans r saying break of 4800 without any bounce is likely but my view is different as i don't wbnt to consider short-term wavecounts in front of wave principle.

Saturday, August 6, 2011

RSI = 16.78 (7day:M.A.)

Technical Bounce back to occur soon.

Last bet on old counts

Even after huge negatives, i want to place last bet on this count.
But this count is of no use if NIFTY closes below 5180.
Rest, wave 2 retraces wave 1 by 100+% + Wave 3 is the smallest in this count.


Everyone saying BEAR so if u want to sell (create shorts) then try to hedge ur positions by taking call options in ur portfolio.
Trend!
NIFTY: BULL!
Dow jones: BEAR!

Note: Investment in equities includes RISK of LOSS of INVESTMENT.


Thursday, August 4, 2011

Expect new bull run @ NIFTY/SENSEX

Termination in zigzag

Zigzag as wave 2 of  WAVE 5 (AUGUST 4)!!!
Why the c wave was terminated/failed to move above wave A????
Target for wave C was above wave A but it failed & thus it was also not possible to sell @ high.
But the reason is within the wave structure. Yes! GOLDEN RATIO is the answer i.e.
wave A was too much stretched that there was no space for wave c to occur.

Tuesday, August 2, 2011

61.8% Retracement for NIFTY is near complete!
5-3-3 Count for flat wave b is complete for nifty, any further downside means fail of counts

2 August 2011

Buy near 5450 with stop-loss of 5-10 points.... or one can reverse position below 5440
5-3-3 is a special format which occurs again & again. But such pattern is not mentioned in elliott rules as they say flat can occur as 3-3-5 (Regular, Running, Expanded/Irregular) & there are no variations of same.
FLAT Formation as wave b IN EFFECT which must not break 5450.........
Update! If nifty gets down below 5450 by even a cent then fail of bullish count....
Counts r flexible but not too much flexible.
Multiplier for c wave is 2.62 instead 1.62 to get the real bounce.
5460 should not break in case of bullish scenario....
Worst below 5460 is waiting
Wave iii is usually sharp so nifty can be in leading diagonals consolidtion pattern in case it holds or
extension of downward trend in case of further downside (fibonacci below 61-66%). & the pattern seems near complete.
Rest, overall outlook is not that bearish...

Monday, August 1, 2011

Just 10 times since the '80s has the Dow been up 1% in the opening half-hour and given it all, and more, back by 10:30 a.m. — as has happened today, as a triple-digit decline washes away an equal gain
Djia may drop upto 11,885 + 46 (Err in s/w) = 11931 but not more if view of triangles is there...

FTSE getting Higher

Bull Vs Bear

Old fractal

Rectangular Vs Trianguler Bull Flags

Rectangular flags r more bullish than triangular flags in terms of uptrend after the BULL FLAG Formation.
Jeffrey W. Kennedy frm ELLIOTT WAVE INTERNATIONAL!
@ HOW TO TRADE DIAGONAL TRIANGLES COURSE...

PRICE GAPS ACT LIKE MAGNETS!
His idea fits perfect in this pic!
Any movement above 5530 & 5550 seems Uptrend,
Between 5550 & 5480 is sideways &
Below 5480 is bearsish.

Prive Gaps act like magnets

Todays upmove (+ve opening) filled the old price gap while day dragging filled todays price gap.
Next move will depend on any movement above/below todays range which is created by gaps.

Trade Assistant: NEUTRAL

Support, Pivot & Resistance for 1 august 2011

S1     PIVOT   R1     R2
5451
5485
5517
5552

Bulls are back!

Source: Marketwatch.com
Seems some kind of unknown sideways pattern...... counts seems tough.
As Resistance becomes SUPPORT so 5500 is support....
Buy Activated!
Stop-Loss: 5500 - 5480 i.e. where nifty gets back within the downtrending channel.
SGX @ 5550!

Sunday, July 31, 2011

Tip by Sanjeev Bhasin frm NDTV: Don't try to catch falling knife instead buy on breakouts @ SEMINAR organised by ICICI.
If nifty falls (extension) then 5400 & 5300 is the target but consider this as last fall. Best is to buy above the channel instead trying buy @ lows. Note: Trend is friend, buy costly but with confidence.

Rest, this is last correction and any breakout above the channel must take nifty/sensex to new highs.

Film Release: Loot Lo INDIA

Tip of the day: Wave Fractal is the answer to each & every market query!
Thanks to R.N. Elliott & his gr8 students/elliticians

US debt crisis and DLF, Bharti results to impact mkt this week


Dow Jones Industrial Average

DJIA UPDATE: Well! I don't track djia @ depth but i do track many elliott wave blogs so that i can update my counts or switch to alternate counts.
DJIA EW Count suggest that the view of RUNNING TRIANGLES is near complete & THE NEXT DIRECTION IS UPWARD WHICH IS LIKELY EQUIVALENT TO THE THRUST FORMED BY THE TRIANGLES. @ E of triangles, usually followed by a news event specially in case of bigger formations.
So, this suggest that GLOBAL TRADING ENV. is not going to bad for near term & we can expect good days in next few trading sessions.
=============================================================
Triangles!!!! What is the most likely thing of trinagles which can be used to get the point of action @ wave 4 or wave b of zigzag??? Ans: NEWS EVENT

Friday, July 29, 2011

Updated counts

Wave (ii)  @ 5520, wave (iii) in progress...
Target is 5553 even if this is downtrending extension. Can be a Small Bear Trap @ wave b of ii (Flat).
Buy Call @ 5555!                                A=C @ 5560 BUT PATTERN MAY FURTHER EXTEND.

Thursday, July 28, 2011

Bet on leading diagonal!
Price & time movement starts differing...
c usually goes beyond the end of a but the rare case is when c fails to get equivalent to a i.e. fail of the channel.  Lets see what happens here, may be its extension or its a leading diagonal formation....

Wave fractal: 28 July

It seems that wave v is near its end due to break of the channel... Thus, overall downtrending move may not extend too much. But this move is below my expectation as 5460 was expected @ near 50% fibo retracement.

28 July 2011

Wave started retracing the channel & seems ending but its gud to wait & watch as time frame is not equivalent to a wave...

Wednesday, July 27, 2011

wave v likely to end 10 pts below the channel

Intraday Wave v in progress...

wave iv uptrending

Excellent wave iv, within the channel........It can't break the channel i.e. NO THROWover movement!

Intraday wave iii normal - 27 July 2011

Wave iii (down-trending) just touched the channel but it should not break the channel as its not the extension.
It seems wave iii is near complete but i was expecting a bit more from this wave as the target 5460 is far away from here.

Wave i extension

Seems wave i extension!
Target calculated through a = c...
Fibonacci, ratios can be used to calculate relative target

Tuesday, July 26, 2011

A = C @ 5450! 

Nifty 26 July 2011 (BEAR Trap for MANGO PEOPLE!)


T.V. analyst was bullish yesterday & may be they r bearish today...
Downside is just the trailer, actual downside is pending! T1: 5500, T2: 5400.
The E wave of triangles was SHARP just like A wave of triangles & same is this downside (C WAVE) must not take more time than A of ZIGZAG so the expiry FAVOR BEARS.

Monday, July 25, 2011

Nifty update 25 july

If NIFTY moves up then its a sure buy, just bought PE @ morning & added one @ top 5699.05...
Confirmation of new downtrend trend is below 5650. So, Shorting below 5650 is still a good bet. 
Lets see what happens tomorrow (RBI Credit Policy Releasing tomm.)

Saturday, July 23, 2011

Elliott Wave Short Term Counts for Nifty

Elliott Wave Short Term Counts for Nifty
Wave C can take 3-4 days i.e. Nifty can fall due to RBI Credit Policy (25Pts hike) and it seems last hike.
Refer the Targets shown in the chart. I m tracking nifty in depth frm feb 10 & i don't know why but i m quite sure about this happening. So, best of luck, if anything goes wrong then S-L is also given in the above chart.
(25 July 2011 - Monday)

S&P CNX NIFTY Directional Elliott Wave Counts...

S&P CNX NIFTY Directional Elliott Wave Counts...